Siberia?
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https://thehill.com/opinion/international/5379824-china-wants-to-invade-siberia-not-taiwan/
The article, citing a NYT report, argues that China may invade Siberia before it invades Taiwan; reasons being:
- War with Taiwan will be very costly to all sides
- Siberia has lots of natural resources that China needs
- Russian defense are weakened and distracted by the war with Ukraine
Thus, the argument goes that while Taiwan "unification" remains a useful rhetoric, Siberia makes a lower cost, higher return target for China if it were to invade somebody.
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I don't believe believe China will invade Russia. This seems farfetched to me. I also don't believe Russia is all that distracted nor weakened by the war in Ukraine. Ukraine used to fall under Russian hegemony and I believe it is incalculably more powerful than Ukraine.
