@Piano-Dad said:
Yes, Rogers could lose in MI
If the Dem wave is big enough, it could carry El-Sayed too.
But it didn’t have to be this way. According to The Economist shortly before the primary, the generic Dem had a 84% win probability over the generic republican on the senate ballot. A few days later when El-Sayed won, Rogers had the advantage by 4 percentage pts.
This is starting to remind me of the tea party a decade ago or Maga in 2018 and 2022. A number of winnable seats were lost because primary voters put someone too extreme on the ballot.
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