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  4. MTG is pissed (Political)

MTG is pissed (Political)

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Off Key - General Discussion
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  • B Bernard

    @Daniel Not to mention the increased risk of terrorism.

    B Offline
    B Offline
    Bernard
    wrote on last edited by Bernard
    #17

    And not to mention--a big one--the increased risk of nuclear war. Iran isn't going to take this sitting down, and Trump is throwing out some damned scary language, which will in turn, no doubt, be met with retaliation. This could very quickly escalate to the level of unimaginable horror. Trump is not a stable man. (For that matter, none of these players are very stable.) A war of madmen.

    The industrial revolution cheapened everything.

    1 Reply Last reply
    • MikM Offline
      MikM Offline
      Mik
      wrote on last edited by
      #18

      This is the difference between campaigning and governing. This intervention will be brief.

      “I refuse to answer that question on the grounds that I don't know the answer”
      ― Douglas Adams

      1 Reply Last reply
      • Piano*DadP Offline
        Piano*DadP Offline
        Piano*Dad
        wrote on last edited by
        #19

        A good Associated Press report ...

        https://apnews.com/article/trump-iran-ayatollah-khamenei-ad853dc1d5606fd9202b65a75bdbfc2f

        Crazy economist who likes to write about higher education.

        wtgW 1 Reply Last reply
        • B Bernard

          @AndyD There is little disputing the ugliness of the regime, but the solution is not having two megalomaniac criminals attacking a sovereign state to save their skins. Netanyahu is a war criminal+, and Trump is tanking at home and the Epstein files are getting closer and closer to the inner circle.

          I have read that the Iranian regime has 7 levels of contingency for every major office. They will not be thrown into disarray over the murder of the Supreme Leader. There is someone right behind him to take his place.

          What we are doing is promoting more violence as an answer to violence. More hate as an answer to hate. It will not work. And Americans will again, be asked to pay, innocent Iranians will be asked to pay. Both with money and lives. It's gross. And a violation of our constitution to continue without Congressional support.

          ShiroKuroS Offline
          ShiroKuroS Offline
          ShiroKuro
          wrote on last edited by
          #20

          @Bernard said:

          What we are doing is promoting more violence as an answer to violence. More hate as an answer to hate. It will not work. And Americans will again, be asked to pay, innocent Iranians will be asked to pay. Both with money and lives. It's gross. And a violation of our constitution to continue without Congressional support.

          This is basically my take.

          @andyd I get what you're saying, but isn't the way. And our president is breaking laws to do it his way.

          We need a different way.

          1 Reply Last reply
          • wtgW Offline
            wtgW Offline
            wtg
            wrote on last edited by wtg
            #21

            What I'm reading is that control is basically distributed in a network in Iran, and the death of even several key leaders won't fundamentally change the control structure there. But by doing what we've done, we've introduced an element of chaos and uncertainty into the whole situation.

            I think @mik is right, that this will be a short intervention; my assessment is that Trump was just looking for another headline about how brave and great he is. He will hold up the death of the ayatollah as a huge success, nothing anyone else would have done and he will continue to call for the Iranian citizens to take back their country. If they don't, he'll just say he set the stage and they didn't take advantage of it and wash his hands of the whole matter.

            I doubt that he's considered what happens next.

            MikM 1 Reply Last reply
            • Piano*DadP Piano*Dad

              A good Associated Press report ...

              https://apnews.com/article/trump-iran-ayatollah-khamenei-ad853dc1d5606fd9202b65a75bdbfc2f

              wtgW Offline
              wtgW Offline
              wtg
              wrote on last edited by wtg
              #22

              @Piano-Dad

              I thought this was interesting, too.

              https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/middle-east/riyadhs-secret-plea-saudi-crown-prince-reportedly-pressed-us-for-military-action-against-iran/articleshow/128917213.cms

              Here's the non-paywall version of the WaPo article mentioned by the Times of India:

              https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/push-from-saudis-israel-helped-move-trump-to-attack-iran/ar-AA1XhnBW

              1 Reply Last reply
              • Piano*DadP Offline
                Piano*DadP Offline
                Piano*Dad
                wrote on last edited by
                #23

                One should not ignore takes that are uncomfortable, like this one from a former head of CentCom ...

                https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/01/opinion/iran-trump-bad-faith.html

                Crazy economist who likes to write about higher education.

                1 Reply Last reply
                👍
                • Piano*DadP Offline
                  Piano*DadP Offline
                  Piano*Dad
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #24

                  Serious analysis from the Institute for the Study of War.

                  Israel appears to be targeting the internal apparatus of political control, consistent with a regime change goal. I can't say I'm shedding any tears for the butchers who killed over 10,000 (up to possibly 30,000) protestors last month.

                  https://understandingwar.org/research/middle-east/iran-update-morning-special-report-march-1-2026/?utm_source=utm_bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=IranUpdate030126AM

                  Crazy economist who likes to write about higher education.

                  1 Reply Last reply
                  👍
                  • wtgW Offline
                    wtgW Offline
                    wtg
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #25

                    Another view from Politico/Foreign Affairs.

                    https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/03/01/iran-uprising-trump-khamenei-regime-change-00806179

                    1 Reply Last reply
                    • wtgW wtg

                      What I'm reading is that control is basically distributed in a network in Iran, and the death of even several key leaders won't fundamentally change the control structure there. But by doing what we've done, we've introduced an element of chaos and uncertainty into the whole situation.

                      I think @mik is right, that this will be a short intervention; my assessment is that Trump was just looking for another headline about how brave and great he is. He will hold up the death of the ayatollah as a huge success, nothing anyone else would have done and he will continue to call for the Iranian citizens to take back their country. If they don't, he'll just say he set the stage and they didn't take advantage of it and wash his hands of the whole matter.

                      I doubt that he's considered what happens next.

                      MikM Offline
                      MikM Offline
                      Mik
                      wrote on last edited by Mik
                      #26

                      @wtg said:

                      What I'm reading is that control is basically distributed in a network in Iran, and the death of even several key leaders won't fundamentally change the control structure there. But by doing what we've done, we've introduced an element of chaos and uncertainty into the whole situation.

                      I think @mik is right, that this will be a short intervention; my assessment is that Trump was just looking for another headline about how brave and great he is. He will hold up the death of the ayatollah as a huge success, nothing anyone else would have done and he will continue to call for the Iranian citizens to take back their country. If they don't, he'll just say he set the stage and they didn't take advantage of it and wash his hands of the whole matter.

                      I doubt that he's considered what happens next.

                      I do not believe you're right. He saw an opportunity and took it. No one knows for certain how it will end up, but we've been screwing around with these bastards and their nuclear ambitions for 25 years.

                      What we must do is avoid trying to dictate what Iran looks like after this, and I certainly hope there has been groundwork laid for a replacement government. While Palavi probably has the most power behind him, I seriously doubt the Iranians wish to see the return of the Shah, even in his son. We cannot forget the genesis of the Islamic Republic was largely due to our brutal meddling, and several generations of Iranians have been taught all about that.

                      All that aside, I am pretty sure domestic political considerations were a factor. Should this be successful the midterms will go much better. If not, well, it looked pretty bad anyway.

                      “I refuse to answer that question on the grounds that I don't know the answer”
                      ― Douglas Adams

                      1 Reply Last reply
                      • B Offline
                        B Offline
                        Bernard
                        wrote on last edited by
                        #27

                        but we've been screwing around with these bastards and their nuclear ambitions for 25 years.

                        The US, self-appointed gatekeepers and the only nation ever to obliterate entire cities of civilians with nuclear bombs. How, exactly, does having the secret codes in the hands of someone like Trump give us any authority on who or who shouldn't have nuclear ambitions?

                        What we must do is avoid trying to dictate what Iran looks like after this, and I certainly hope there has been groundwork laid for a replacement government.

                        Surely, you can't be serious.

                        To add to the comment about 'several generations', this latest action only heaps more resentment upon resentment upon resentment.

                        The industrial revolution cheapened everything.

                        1 Reply Last reply
                        • D Offline
                          D Offline
                          Daniel
                          wrote on last edited by Daniel
                          #28

                          It's a hard no from me. Iran's nuclear program is being monitored by the relevant official agency. It would be a 2nd-- 2nd Iraq War ("weapons of mass destruction") or even worse, maybe much worse. Hopefully, the U.S. and Israel, again, are forced to come to terms with Iran's current abilities to wage war, and back off a second time.

                          'But as they said in one of the later Rocky movies, "Time...it's undefeated.".-- Mik

                          1 Reply Last reply
                          • D Offline
                            D Offline
                            Daniel
                            wrote on last edited by
                            #29

                            Link to video

                            'But as they said in one of the later Rocky movies, "Time...it's undefeated.".-- Mik

                            1 Reply Last reply
                            • D Offline
                              D Offline
                              Daniel
                              wrote on last edited by Daniel
                              #30

                              The latest news.

                              Link to video

                              (Click on link, you will see the video, press play)

                              'But as they said in one of the later Rocky movies, "Time...it's undefeated.".-- Mik

                              1 Reply Last reply
                              • D Offline
                                D Offline
                                Daniel
                                wrote on last edited by
                                #31

                                Link to video

                                'But as they said in one of the later Rocky movies, "Time...it's undefeated.".-- Mik

                                1 Reply Last reply
                                • A Offline
                                  A Offline
                                  AndyD
                                  wrote on last edited by
                                  #32

                                  I have to ask those who wish to withdraw within your borders and do little or nothing to affect the external world, what would be your Pearl Harbour moment?

                                  China taking over Taiwan? Or China taking over Mexico?
                                  Russia taking over Ukraine. Or taking over Greenland?

                                  Ventosa viri restabit

                                  1 Reply Last reply
                                  • A Offline
                                    A Offline
                                    AndyD
                                    wrote on last edited by
                                    #33

                                    I will add that the RAF base on Cyprus has been attacked.
                                    And the UK is helping, through Diego Garcia, and two airfields in England.

                                    Ventosa viri restabit

                                    1 Reply Last reply
                                    • A Offline
                                      A Offline
                                      AndyD
                                      wrote on last edited by AndyD
                                      #34

                                      It's not like the US has been the only target for these fanatical terrorist clerics of Iran.

                                      https://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2020/sep/16/timeline-iran-assassinations-and-plot

                                      For us in the UK, from a House of Commons report:
                                      "In October 2025, the Director General of MI5, Sir Ken McCallum, reported that security agencies have tracked “more than 20 potentially lethal Iran-backed plots” in the previous year. He has issued similar reports in earlier years.

                                      Those targeted by Iran in the UK include dissidents, journalists, regime opponents, Israelis, Jews, and sectors including government, travel and universities. BBC Persian and the UK-based news agency Iran International are among those who have long reported Iranian state threats. In addition to its state agencies, including the IRGC and the Ministry of Intelligence and Security, Iran has used criminal groups to conduct operations in the UK and elsewhere. "

                                      Ventosa viri restabit

                                      1 Reply Last reply
                                      • D Offline
                                        D Offline
                                        Daniel
                                        wrote on last edited by Daniel
                                        #35

                                        An illegal war based on a lie. No. An easy call.

                                        'But as they said in one of the later Rocky movies, "Time...it's undefeated.".-- Mik

                                        1 Reply Last reply
                                        👍
                                        • S Offline
                                          S Offline
                                          Steve Miller
                                          wrote on last edited by
                                          #36

                                          Will no one think of the oil?

                                          1 Reply Last reply
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