Red wave 2024
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As polls seem to indicate that former president Donald Trump has momentum in some swing states with 24 days remaining until the Nov. 5 presidential election, Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg says: Don’t buy it..
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Here is the previous article with his predictions for what would happen in the last weeks before the election.
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Phony polls are helping Trump.[link text](link https://www.nj.com/politics/2024/09/political-strategist-heres-how-gops-phony-polls-will-help-trump-with-the-big-lie.html)
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The top GOP super PAC charged with flipping the Senate has found that most of its candidates are trailing their Democratic opponents, according to an internal polling memo obtained by POLITICO.
The new round of October polling from the Senate Leadership Fund shows all but one Republican candidate running behind Donald Trump in battleground states, a pattern that could sharply limit their ability to build a sizable majority unless they can force a change in the final weeks of the election.
Republicans are still favored to take control of the chamber, and their data brought some hopeful news with tightening races in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. But other pickup opportunities, namely Maryland and Michigan, are moving in the wrong direction. And Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, one of the two incumbents running in a state Trump won in 2020, looks surprisingly strong in Ohio..
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/13/senate-republican-poll-memo-00183570
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He's going to win unless they succeed in assassinating him or rigging the election, in my opinion.
I shouldn't ask, even rhetorically, because I'm on my best behavior (new forum, new day), but I'd bet many of you think the electorate wants a second Biden administration or a lady who won not a single delegate and can't even speak without teleprompter.
In the former case, based on the economy, I'm not seeing it.
In the latter case, this isn't democracy.
This is the weakest candidate the Democrats have run in my lifetime.
We (Democrats and ostinsible Democrats) have turned Trump into a phantasmagoric monster and he's not capable of living up to the billing.
Kamala Harris is spewing lie upon lie when talking about him.
However, maybe the unwashed will tremble in fear, maybe they will forget she is an illegitimate nominee, and maybe they will believe she had any plan that would change the economic problems and the border crisis she helped to create.
I personally can't see feeling good about it if it happens when the Democratic Party abandoned our interests a long time ago.
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@Daniel What sort of delegates do you mean?
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/dnc-chair-says-majority-delegates-voted-give-harris-democratic-nominat-rcna164743 -
Nate Silver has it as 50/50, exactly. I imagine he can filter polls that are mere noise.
As for whether Kamala Harris can speak without a teleprompter, let’s all re-watch 60 Minutes. Or the debate with Trump.
I loved her line today (or yesterday) when asked why she sticks to her talking points. “It’s called discipline.”
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Michael Moore, who correctly predicted in 2016 that Trump would win, despite all the betting odds being in Hillary's corner, and to much disbelief, now says unequivocably that he will lose. Headline on Fox:
"Michael Moore mocks Democrats panicked by tight 2024 race: 'Shocking to me' they believe Trump is going to win
'Are you not aware that there’s going to be a tsunami of women voting between now and Election Day?' Moore said on CNN" -
@CHAS said in Red wave 2024:
@Daniel What sort of delegates do you mean?
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/dnc-chair-says-majority-delegates-voted-give-harris-democratic-nominat-rcna164743Chas, That is such a farce! She didn't "win" anything. She didn't complete against anyone!
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Quirt and I live in different universes of perception. Some things never change.
