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Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Off Key - General Discussion
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  • wtgW Offline
    wtgW Offline
    wtg
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Let's hope it translates to votes and a win.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

    When the world wearies and society ceases to satisfy, there is always the garden - Minnie Aumônier

    1 Reply Last reply
    • S Online
      S Online
      Steve Miller
      wrote on last edited by
      #2

      How about that! 👍

      1 Reply Last reply
      • AxtremusA Online
        AxtremusA Online
        Axtremus
        wrote on last edited by
        #3

        But “538” is not Nate Silver anymore.

        Nate Silver on “Why I Don’t Buy 538’s New Election Model”:
        https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-i-dont-buy-538s-new-election

        S wtgW 2 Replies Last reply
        • AxtremusA Axtremus

          But “538” is not Nate Silver anymore.

          Nate Silver on “Why I Don’t Buy 538’s New Election Model”:
          https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-i-dont-buy-538s-new-election

          S Online
          S Online
          Steve Miller
          wrote on last edited by
          #4

          @Axtremus I don’t put a lot of stock in to what Nate has to say - not since 2016 when he was at least partially responsible for giving us Trump.

          Surely the new owners can’t be any worse.

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          • AxtremusA Axtremus

            But “538” is not Nate Silver anymore.

            Nate Silver on “Why I Don’t Buy 538’s New Election Model”:
            https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-i-dont-buy-538s-new-election

            wtgW Offline
            wtgW Offline
            wtg
            wrote on last edited by wtg
            #5

            @Axtremus said in Polls:

            But “538” is not Nate Silver anymore.

            Yea, he charges for his opinion now! Well at least most of the time...

            @Axtremus said in Polls:

            Nate Silver on “Why I Don’t Buy 538’s New Election Model”

            Interesting read.

            When the world wearies and society ceases to satisfy, there is always the garden - Minnie Aumônier

            1 Reply Last reply
            • wtgW Offline
              wtgW Offline
              wtg
              wrote on last edited by wtg
              #6

              Yet another take.

              https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/could-there-be-a-kamala-harris-landslide-in-november-the-data-scientist-who-correctly-called-the-last-election-is-betting-yes/ar-AA1qLdtX

              When the world wearies and society ceases to satisfy, there is always the garden - Minnie Aumônier

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              • S Online
                S Online
                Steve Miller
                wrote on last edited by
                #7

                Could happen…

                1 Reply Last reply
                • C Offline
                  C Offline
                  CHAS
                  wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  I’m dreaming of a blue landslide

                  “I’m at an age when remembering something right away is as good as an orgasm.”—Gloria Steinem to Julia Louis-Dreyfus on Wiser Than Me

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                  • Piano*DadP Offline
                    Piano*DadP Offline
                    Piano*Dad
                    wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    There are very few worlds in which the Democrats retain the Senate, however.

                    Crazy economist who likes to write about higher education.

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