WTF-Beta

@Piano-Dad said:

Yes, Rogers could lose in MI

If the Dem wave is big enough, it could carry El-Sayed too.

But it didn’t have to be this way. According to The Economist shortly before the primary, the generic Dem had a 84% win probability over the generic republican on the senate ballot. A few days later when El-Sayed won, Rogers had the advantage by 4 percentage pts.

This is starting to remind me of the tea party a decade ago or Maga in 2018 and 2022. A number of winnable seats were lost because primary voters put someone too extreme on the ballot.

That’s so lovely. Well done!

(I like how we can see your reflection in the pino desk)

A380

We mean democratic socialism like in [checks notes] Cuba.

Collins has a history of outperforming her polls. Still I’m encouraged t these results.

Of course a lot can change in 3 months

There’s an error here, Ossoff is the incumbent so this seat wouldn’t be a flip.

But still this points to a Dem senate. Polymarket has it at 53% chance too. And that’s FoxNews polling!

Jelly

Cop: So, I’m writing you a ticket for driving alone in the carpool lane.

Me: You’re going to feel pretty stupid when you look in my trunk.

John

Mmmmmm

Im listening to Regime Change, the new bestseller from Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan about the first year+ of the second Trump administration. Very deeply reported, Bob Woodward style. Interesting if at times a little depressing reliving some of the lowlights of 2025.

I hope they write another about the Iran war.

I don’t think there’s anything cowardly about following the secret service’s instructions on these things but funny is funny.

Only two things come to mind for you to consider -

Musee de la Musique - it’s a little out of the way but lots of cool old instruments if you like that kind of thing

The Catacombs - really needs to be seen to be believed. Quite literally millions of bones and skeletons stacked and arranged in the most curious of ways. I think it’s over 6MM remains all transferred from overflowing cemeteries in the 18th and 19th centuries. There’s nothing else like it in the world to my knowledge. Lots of stairs to access it. Over 100.

If this were twenty years ago I’d give you restaurant recommendations… but I don’t dare now.

If it’s warm you might consider a boat tour on the Canal St Martin. Lots of history and architecture. And it’s not a big time commitment

Fun!

Pig squealing contest in France.

https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2087431388253524443/video/1?s=46